Updated Trump Cabinet Confirmation Odds
The oddsmakers were more accurate than the pollsters as it pertained to the outcome of the 2024 Election.
This week, Senate confirmation hearings for President-elect Donald Trump’s Cabinet picks are set to begin so it’s a good time to take a look at the latest odds and probabilities from the bookmakers.
BetOnline.ag, who correctly listed Matt Gaetz as an underdog to be appointed Attorney General back on November 14, has all three of the most discussed potential cabinet members as healthy favorites to be confirmed.
On Nov. 14, Tulsi Gabbard was a 1/5 (-500) favorite for National Intelligence Director so her odds have worsened a bit, while Robert Kennedy Jr. was just a slight favorite at 2/3 (-150).
RFK’s odds have gotten much shorter, and Pete Hegseth has the best chances of them all, at least according to the numbers below.
Will Pete Hegseth be confirmed by the Senate for Defense Secretary?
Yes 1/10 (-1000)
No 5/1 (+550)
(Odds imply a 91% probability Hegseth IS confirmed)
Will Tulsi Gabbard be confirmed by the Senate for DNI?
Yes 2/9 (-450)
No 11/4 (+275)
(Odds imply an 82% probability Gabbard IS confirmed)
How many Senators will confirm Gabbard?
Over/Under 49.5
Will Robert Kennedy Jr. be confirmed by the Senate for Department of Health and Human Services?
Yes 1/6 (-600)
No 7/2 (+350)
(Odds imply an 86% probability Kennedy Jr. IS confirmed)
How many Senators will confirm RFK Jr.?
Over/Under 50.5
